Tuesday, January 27, 2004

It's early yet (just before 11 Eastern) but the theme of the day might be that the wheat will be separated from the chaff in New Hampshire.

For instance, we have Carville chatting with Bill Hemmer:

HEMMER: How many will drop out tomorrow?

CARVILLE: I think of the big five, two will be gone tomorrow. Whether they drop out -- whether you drop out or not doesn't matter -- but if two people finish far behind here, it's going to be pretty hard for them to raise money; it's going to be hard for their supporters to stay with them.

And there's a great sense among everyday rank-and-file Democrats, "Hey, if somebody does really well here, let's get, all get behind them and make this person nominee." And by the same token, these guys have been working hard -- Sen. Edwards and Dean -- you can't force people out of this thing too early, but somebody has to show ability to get votes in order to stay in this thing. You can't just stay in this thing forever.

Interesting that he singles out Dean and Edwards as the hard workers who need to show the ability to get votes to remain viable.

Of course it's much easier on the media if there are fewer candidates (the so-called Rule of Two) -- fewer campaigns to cover; less work during debates; more simplistic Either/Or, For/Against focus on the issues. But of course that's not relevant. This is about the People, making their Choice now now now now now!

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